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draft potential / volitility

By zimmer89
2/03/2021 1:00 pm
OK so when evaluating players with higher volatility are there any things one should look for to give a better idea of weather the prospect will boom or bust? I Always try to choose players with high primary skills (strength/speed, etc) and also choose prospects that have the potential to play a few different positions well (thanks Seth for the engineering thread).
But as far as individual attributes are there any tells that help? Red line/blue line relationships? etc
Any help appreciated!!
Thanks

Re: draft potential / volitility

By ArmoredGiraffe
2/03/2021 1:11 pm
Personally I look at what their floor values are at as well so if the player does bust, his floor is high enough to do something useful.

Re: draft potential / volitility

By hollyhh2000
2/03/2021 1:22 pm
you already do a lot right:

look at the physicals.
No need to go after the 75 Strength, 100 PB potential, 100 RB potential OL but go after the 100 Str/ 75 PB / 75 RB guys.

And often, the blue line at one skill is very near to the red one, so i.e if this is CB and his Zone Coverage skill is already near to his high potential rating, at least he could play some snaps at FS for me, if he bombs

Re: draft potential / volitility

By CrazySexyBeast
2/15/2021 11:20 pm
Drafting and Volatility (A Guide):
https://mlf.myfootballnow.com/community/3/2915?page=1#19452

Slow rebuilding through the Draft: Effects and analysis of Volatility
https://mlf.myfootballnow.com/community/3/6293?page=1

Going to sneak this in right here to see who is paying attention :P
weight/height/position/stratified sampling
https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student%20PPTs/Avg%20NFL%20ht%20wt.pdf
Last edited at 2/15/2021 11:22 pm

Re: draft potential / volitility

By andrewjolson71
2/16/2021 12:54 pm
CrazySexyBeast wrote:
Going to sneak this in right here to see who is paying attention :P
weight/height/position/stratified sampling
https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student%20PPTs/Avg%20NFL%20ht%20wt.pdf


Oh Stats class... *starts convulsing on floor*

The worst for me was when they told us to calculate standard deviation by hand. Smh

Re: draft potential / volitility

By setherick
2/17/2021 6:29 pm
andrewjolson71 wrote:
CrazySexyBeast wrote:
Going to sneak this in right here to see who is paying attention :P
weight/height/position/stratified sampling
https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student%20PPTs/Avg%20NFL%20ht%20wt.pdf


Oh Stats class... *starts convulsing on floor*

The worst for me was when they told us to calculate standard deviation by hand. Smh


I get annoyed that SSMS doesn't have a built in MEDIAN function. There is no way that I'm calculating STDEV by hand.

Re: draft potential / volitility

By CrazySexyBeast
2/20/2021 7:48 pm
R'amen!
hahah!